citation
Cite the dataset as a whole, or any country profile, using the following form. A DOI will be minted at publication.
Jamil H, Gilmour S (2026). Bayesian estimates of tobacco use prevalence in adults aged 15 and above, 2000–2040 (model OmegaTobacco EBS). Graduate School of Public Health, St. Luke's International University, Tokyo, in collaboration with researchers at the World Health Organization. https://ibuki.io
For EndNote and Mendeley, choose RIS above and import; for Zotero, click the browser extension on this page.
Country name, code or WHO region
Population
In the selected year means prevalence is below 5% that year. A past crossing alone does not count. Both sexes describes the combined adult population, weighted by male and female populations.
Loading map…
Probability of prevalence below 5% in 2040
Both sexes · Forecast · Ages 15+
Probability of meeting the selected threshold
A fixed scale from 0% to 100%. Darker blue means a higher probability. Unavailable
Fixed scale · 0–100%
Select a country on the map or search by name. Use the table to compare all countries, including small states.
197 of 197 countries
Both sexes · Probability of prevalence below 5% in 2040
Unavailable means population weights are missing. Countries with equal probabilities are ordered alphabetically.
Search or select a country from the list to see its probabilities over time. Open its dossier for prevalence estimates, surveys and the country report.
The 5% threshold refers to tobacco prevalence among adults aged 15 and older. The percentages in this view are the model probabilities of being below that threshold.